Below is a projection of which teams would end up on specific seed lines based on results so far this season if selections were made today. The body of work for each team’s results over the course of the 2022-2023 season influences their seed line. As always, I’ll do my best to share updated projections consistently during the season.
This is my final update prior to the bracket being released. If Penn State wins, I’d bump them to the 7 line and move Northwestern to the 8 line. If Memphis beats Houston, I would flip Memphis with Northwestern. If both upsets occur, both Penn State and Memphis would go to the 7 line and both Missouri and Northwestern would fall to the 8 line.
My bracket is part of the The Bracket Project’s website along with many other brackets that college basketball fans are part of. If you have the time and want to create your own field of 68, all instructions can be found on The Bracket Project’s website. Link to The Bracket Project
NCAA Field Projection – March 12, 2023 (3:45pm)
The 1s: Alabama, Kansas, Houston, Purdue
The 2s: Texas, UCLA, Arizona, Marquette
The 3s: Gonzaga, Baylor, Kansas State, Connecticut
The 4s: San Diego State, Xavier, Virginia, Tennessee
The 5s: Duke, Indiana, Iowa State, Miami (FL)
The 6s: TCU, Texas A&M, Michigan State, Creighton
The 7s: Kentucky, Saint Mary’s (CA), Missouri, Memphis
The 8s: Northwestern, West Virginia, Penn State, Florida Atlantic
The 9s: Iowa, Arkansas, Maryland, Auburn
The 10s: Boise State, Illinois, USC, Utah State
The 11s: Providence, Nevada, Pittsburgh, NC State, Arizona State, Mississippi State
The 12s: Oral Roberts, Charleston, Drake, VCU
The 13s: Kent State, Iona, Louisiana-Lafayette, Kennesaw State
The 14s: Furman, UC Santa Barbara, Grand Canyon, Vermont
The 15s: Princeton, Colgate, Montana State, UNC-Asheville
The 16s: Northern Kentucky, Howard, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi, Southeast Missouri State, Texas Southern, Fairleigh Dickinson